Thursday, February 3, 2011

Super Bowl

I’m taking the Packers (-2.5) and the Over (45).

Line: Green Bay Packers (-2.5) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers.  Over/Under 45.

The Steelers Defense has one weakness, that would be the Cornerback position.  Well that’s a problem because Aaron Rodgers is in town with perhaps the deepest core of WR’s in football.  I don’t expect the Packers to try to run the ball because no one runs on the Steelers with much success.  I’m not forgetting Troy P and his hair in the secondary but there’s only so much one man can do.  One concern with the Packers is the battle their Offensive Tackles have with the insane linebacking core the Steelers role out with Timmons/Woodley/Harrison/Farrior but I expect max protect all game long for GB with RB James Starks/John Kuhn staying in the backfield to take care of that(easier said than done)
Why take the Over when two of the best defenses in football battle each other?  Well, I have a very scientific answer for you:  I hate taking the under.  There is nothing worse than picking the under and then at the start of the third quarter you’ve already reached the over in points.  That’s it, that’s my reasoning and I dig it.

Prop Bets:  I prefer the long shot
MVP: Clay Matthews 18/1  ( I’d also throw a few bucks on Sam Shields at 35/1)
Player to score 1st TD of the game:  Donald Driver 12/1
I’m taking the Packers (-2.5) and the Over (45).

Final Score: Packers 27   Steelers 21

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